Publications

Preprints, Conference Papers

Peer-reviewed

  1. Evans, Lowe, Crawford, Fleming, Hosking (2026) "Icebergs, jigsaw puzzles, and genealogy: automated multi-generational iceberg tracking and lineage reconstruction", The Cryosphere
  2. Muszynski, Orr, Roy, Di Capua, Pritchard, Scott Hosking (2026) "Using a causal effect network approach to quantify the impact of ENSO teleconnections on summer monsoon precipitation over the Himalayas and key regional circulations", Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
  3. Tazi, Orr, Hosking, Turner (2025) "Precipitation prediction over the upper Indus Basin from large-scale circulation patterns using Gaussian processes", Environmental Data Science
  4. Girona-Mata, Orr, Widmann, Bannister, Dars, Hosking, Norris, Ocio, Phillips, Steiner, Turner (2025) "Probabilistic precipitation downscaling for ungauged mountain sites: a pilot study for the Hindu Kush Himalaya", Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
  5. Bowler, Byrne, Leclerc, Roberto-Charron, Rogers, Cavanagh, Harasimo, Lancaster, Chan, Strickson, Wilkinson, Downie, Hosking, Andersson (2025) "AI sea ice forecasts for Arctic conservation: A case study predicting the timing of caribou sea ice migrations", Ecological Solutions and Evidence
  6. Rouse, Moss, Hosking, McRobie, Shuckburgh (2025) "Reflective error: a metric for assessing predictive performance at extreme events", Environmental Data Science
  7. Allen, Markou, Tebbutt, Requeima, Bruinsma, Andersson, Herzog, Chantry, Hosking, Turner (2025) "End-to-end data-driven weather prediction", Nature
  8. Williams, Thodoroff, Arthern, Byrne, Hosking, Kaiser, Lawrence, Kazlauskaite (2025) "Calculations of extreme sea level rise scenarios are strongly dependent on ice sheet model resolution", Commun Earth Environ
  9. Rouse, Khamis, Hosking, McRobie, Shuckburgh (2025) "Streamflow prediction using artificial neural networks and soil moisture proxies", Environmental Data Science
  10. Coca-Castro, Fouilloux, Barros Lourenço, McDonald, Rao, Hosking (2025) "Improving the reproducibility in geoscientific papers: lessons learned from a Hackathon in climate science", Environmental Data Science
  11. Uebbing, Joakimsen, Luppino, Martinsen, McDonald, Wickstrøm, Lefèvre, Salberg, Hosking, Jenssen (2025) "Investigating the Impact of Feature Reduction for Deep Learning-based Seasonal Sea Ice Forecasting", Northern Lights Deep Learning Conference 2025
  12. Parthipan, Anand, Christensen, Hosking, Wischik (2024) "Defining error accumulation in ML atmospheric simulators", ArXiv
  13. Tazi, Orr, Hernandez-González, Hosking, Turner (2024) "Downscaling precipitation over High-mountain Asia using multi-fidelity Gaussian processes: improved estimates from ERA5", Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
  14. Rogers, Fox, Fleming, van Zeeland, Wilkinson, Hosking (2024) "Sea ice detection using concurrent multispectral and synthetic aperture radar imagery", Remote Sensing of Environment
  15. Joakimsen, Martinsen, Luppino, McDonald, Hosking, Jenssen (2024) "Interrogating Sea Ice Predictability With Gradients", IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters
  16. Jay, Yu, Crawford, Archer-Nicholls, James, Gledson, Shaddick, Haines, Lannelongue, Lines, Hosking, Topping (2024) "Prioritize environmental sustainability in use of AI and data science methods", Nature Geoscience
  17. Evans, Faul, Fleming, Vaughan, Hosking (2023) "Unsupervised machine learning detection of iceberg populations within sea ice from dual-polarisation SAR imagery", Remote Sensing of Environment
  18. Andersson, Bruinsma, Markou, Requeima, Coca-Castro, Vaughan, Ellis, Lazzara, Jones, Hosking, Turner (2023) "Environmental sensor placement with convolutional Gaussian neural processes", Environmental Data Science
  19. Thodoroff, Kaiser, Williams, Arthern, Hosking, Lawrence, Byrne, Kazlauskaite (2023) "Multi-fidelity experimental design for ice-sheet simulation", NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
  20. Parthipan, Christensen, Hosking, Wischik (2023) "Using probabilistic machine learning to better model temporal patterns in parameterizations: a case study with the Lorenz 96 model", Geoscientific Model Development
  21. Bruinsma, Markou, Requiema, Foong, Andersson, Vaughan, Buonomo, Hosking, Turner (2023) "Autoregressive Conditional Neural Processes", 11th International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR 2023)
  22. Summers, Mackie, Ueno, Simpson, Hosking, Suciu, Coburn, Shuckburgh (2022) "Localized impacts and economic implications from high temperature disruption days under climate change", Climate Resilience and Sustainability
  23. Vaughan, Tebbutt, Hosking, Turner (2022) "Convolutional conditional neural processes for local climate downscaling", Geoscientific Model Development
  24. Ravuri, Andersson, Kazlauskaite, Tebbutt, Turner, Hosking, Lawrence, Kaiser (2022) "Ice Core Dating using Probabilistic Programming", NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
  25. Lalchand, Tazi, Cheema, Turner, Hosking (2022) "Kernel Learning for Explainable Climate Science", 16th Bayesian Modelling Applications Workshop at UAI, 2022
  26. Simpson, Hosking, Mitchell, Betts, Shuckburgh (2021) "Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour", Environmental Research Letters
  27. Eastwood, Stubbings, Abou-Elwafa Abdallah, Durance, Paavola, Dallimer, Pantel, Johnson, Zhou, Hosking, Brown, Ullah, Krause, Hannah, Crawford, Widmann, Orsini (2021) "The Time Machine framework: monitoring and prediction of biodiversity loss", Trends in Ecology & Evolution
  28. Andersson, Hosking, Pérez-Ortiz, Paige, Elliott, Russell, Law, Jones, Wilkinson, Phillips, Byrne, Tietsche, Sarojini, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Aksenov, Downie, Shuckburgh (2021) "Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning", Nature Communications
  29. Amos, Sengupta, Young, Hosking (2021) "A continuous vertically resolved ozone dataset from the fusion of chemistry climate models with observations using a Bayesian neural network", EarthArXiv
  30. King, Turner, Colwell, Lu, Orr, Phillips, Hosking, Marshall (2021) "Inhomogeneity of the Surface Air Temperature Record from Halley, Antarctica", Journal of Climate
  31. Haupt, Chapman, Adams, Kirkwood, Hosking, Robinson, Lerch, Subramanian (2021) "Towards implementing artificial intelligence post-processing in weather and climate: proposed actions from the Oxford 2019 workshop", Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
  32. Sengupta, Amos, Hosking, Rasmussen, Juniper, Young (2020) "Ensembling geophysical models with Bayesian Neural Networks", Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) 2020
  33. Bruinsma, Perim, Tebbutt, Hosking, Solin, Turner (2020) "Scalable Exact Inference in Multi-Output Gaussian Processes", Proceedings of the 37th International Conference on Machine Learning, Vienna, Austria, PMLR 119, 2020
  34. Orr, Hosking, Delon, Hoffmann, Spang, Moffat-Griffin, Keeble, Abraham, Braesicke (2020) "Polar stratospheric clouds initiated by mountain waves in a global chemistry--climate model: a missing piece in fully modelling polar stratospheric ozone depletion", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
  35. Amos, Young, Hosking, Lamarque, Abraham, Akiyoshi, Archibald, Bekki, Deushi, Jöckel, Kinnison, Kirner, Kunze, Marchand, Plummer, Saint-Martin, Sudo, Tilmes, Yamashita (2020) "Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry-climate models weighted by model performance and independence", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
  36. Bracegirdle, Holmes, Hosking, Marshall, Osman, Patterson, Rackow (2020) "Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5", Earth and Space Science
  37. McCrystall, Hosking, White, Maycock (2020) "The impact of changes in tropical sea surface temperatures over 1979-2012 on Northern hemisphere high latitude climate", Journal of Climate
  38. Kapetas, Kazakis, Voudouris, Martinez, Hosking (2019) "Modelling Groundwater - Surface Water Interactions Under Climate Change Scenarios: insights from Axios Delta, Greece", ICONHIC 2019: 2nd International Conference on Natural Hazards & Infrastructure, Chania, Greece
  39. Bannister, Orr, Jain, Holman, Momblanch, Phillips, Adeloye, Snapir, Waine, Hosking, Allen-Sader (2019) "Bias correction of high-resolution regional climate model precipitation output gives the best estimates of precipitation in Himalayan catchments", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
  40. Turner, Phillips, Thamban, Rahaman, Marshall, Wille, Favier, Winton, Thomas, Wang, Broeke, Hosking, Lachlan-Cope (2019) "The Dominant Role of Extreme Precipitation Events in Antarctic Snowfall Variability", Geophysical Research Letters
  41. Deb, Orr, Bromwich, Nicolas, Turner, Hosking (2018) "Summer Drivers of Atmospheric Variability Affecting Ice Shelf Thinning in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica", Geophysical Research Letters
  42. Hosking, MacLeod, Phillips, Holmes, Watson, Shuckburgh, Mitchell (2018) "Changes in European wind energy generation potential within a 1.5C warmer world", Environmental Research Letters
  43. King, Bannister, Hosking, Colwell (2017) "Causes of the Antarctic region record high temperature at Signy Island, 30th January 1982", Atmospheric Science Letters
  44. Hosking, Fogt, Thomas, Moosavi, Phillips, Coggins, Reusch (2017) "Accumulation in coastal West Antarctic ice core records and the role of cyclone activity", Geophysical Research Letters
  45. Bannister, Herzog, Graf, Hosking, Short (2017) "An Assessment of Recent and Future Temperature Change over the Sichuan Basin, China, Using CMIP5 Climate Models", Journal of Climate
  46. Turner, Phillips, Marshall, Hosking, Pope, Bracegirdle, Deb (2017) "Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016", Geophysical Research Letters
  47. Moffat-Griffin, Taylor, Nakamura, Kavanagh, Hosking, Orr (2017) "3rd ANtarctic Gravity Wave Instrument Network (ANGWIN) science workshop", Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
  48. Turner, Hosking, Bracegirdle, Phillips, Marshall (2017) "Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves", International Journal of Climatology
  49. Turner, Lu, White, King, Phillips, Hosking, Bracegirdle, Marshall, Mulvaney, Deb (2016) "Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability", Nature
  50. Deb, Orr, Hosking, Phillips, Turner, Bannister, Pope, Colwell (2016) "An assessment of the Polar Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model representation of near-surface meteorological variables over West Antarctica", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
  51. Hosking, Orr, Bracegirdle, Turner (2016) "Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing", Geophysical Research Letters
  52. Raphael, Marshall, Turner, Fogt, Schneider, Dixon, Hosking, Jones, Hobbs (2016) "The Amundsen Sea Low: Variability, Change, and Impact on Antarctic Climate", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
  53. Turner, Hosking, Marshall, Phillips, Bracegirdle (2016) "Antarctic sea ice increase dominated by intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low", Climate Dynamics
  54. Thomas, Hosking, Tuckwell, Warren, Ludlow (2015) "Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica", Geophysical Research Letters
  55. Turner, Hosking, Bracegirdle, Marshall, Phillips (2015) "Recent Changes in Antarctic Sea Ice", Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
  56. Chemel, Russo, Hosking, Telford, Pyle (2015) "Sensitivity of tropical deep convection in global models: effects of horizontal resolution, surface constraints and 3D atmospheric nudging", Atmospheric Science Letters
  57. Orr, Hosking, Hoffmann, Keeble, Dean, Roscoe, Abraham, Vosper, Braesicke (2015) "Inclusion of mountain-wave-induced cooling for the formation of PSCs over the Antarctic Peninsula in a chemistry-climate model", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
  58. Hosking, Bannister, Orr, King, Young, Phillips (2015) "Orographic disturbances of surface winds over the shelf waters adjacent to South Georgia", Atmospheric Science Letters
  59. Orr, Phillips, Webster, Elvidge, Weeks, Hosking, Turner (2014) "Met Office Unified Model high resolution simulations of a strong wind event in Antarctica", Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
  60. Bracegirdle, Turner, Hosking, Phillips (2014) "Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models", Climate Dynamics
  61. Turner, Hosking, Phillips, Marshall (2013) "Temporal and spatial evolution of the Antarctic sea ice prior to the September 2012 record maximum extent", Geophysical Research Letters
  62. Hosking, Orr, Marshall, Turner, Phillips (2013) "The influence of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations", Journal of Climate
  63. Turner, Phillips, Hosking, Marshall, Orr (2013) "The Amundsen Sea Low", International Journal of Climatology
  64. Barrand, Vaughan, Steiner, Tedesco, Kuipers Munneke, Broeke, Hosking (2013) "Trends in Antarctic Peninsula surface melting conditions from observations and regional climate modelling", Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface
  65. Turner, Bracegirdle, Phillips, Marshall, Hosking (2013) "An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models", Journal of Climate
  66. Orr, Bracegirdle, Hosking, Feng, Roscoe, Haigh (2013) "Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole", Journal of Climate
  67. Orr, Bracegirdle, Hosking, Jung, Haigh, Phillips, Feng (2012) "Possible Dynamical Mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere Climate Change due to the Ozone Hole", Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
  68. Hosking, Russo, Braesicke, Pyle (2012) "Tropical convective transport and the Walker circulation", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
  69. Hoyle, Marécal, Russo, Allen, Arteta, Chemel, Chipperfield, D'Amato, Dessens, Feng, Hamilton, Harris, Hosking, Lewis, Morgenstern, Peter, Pyle, Reddmann, Richards, Telford, Tian, Viciani, Volz-Thomas, Wild, Yang, Zeng (2011) "Representation of tropical deep convection in atmospheric models - Part 2: Tracer transport", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
  70. Russo, Marécal, Hoyle, Arteta, Chemel, Chipperfield, Dessens, Feng, Hosking, Telford, Wild, Yang, Pyle (2011) "Representation of tropical deep convection in atmospheric models - Part 1: Meteorology and comparison with satellite observations", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
  71. Hosking, Russo, Braesicke, Pyle (2010) "Modelling deep convection and its impacts on the tropical tropopause layer", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics

Reports

PhD Thesis

Datasets