Publications

Preprints, Conference Papers

• Dunstan, Strickson, Bennett, Bowyer, Burnand, Chappell, Coca-Castro, Dale, Daub, Eftekhari, Janmaijaya, Lillis, Salvador-Jasin, Simpson, Chan, Elmasri, France, Madge, Bokeria, Brown, Dodds, Ellis, Llewellyn-Jones, McCaie, Moreton, Potter, Robinson, Scaife, Stenson, Walters, Bett-Williams, Zeeland, Yatsyshin, Hosking, FastNet: Improving the physical consistency of machine-learning weather prediction models through loss function design, arXiv
• Evans, Lowe, Crawford, Fleming, Hosking, Icebergs, jigsaw puzzles and genealogy: Automated multi-generational iceberg tracking and lineage reconstruction, EGUsphere
• Uebbing, Joakimsen, Luppino, Martinsen, McDonald, Wickstrøm, Lefèvre, Salberg, Hosking, Jenssen, Investigating the Impact of Feature Reduction for Deep Learning-based Seasonal Sea Ice Forecasting, Northern Lights Deep Learning Conference 2025
• Rouse, Debnath, Rouse, Tebbutt, Dousset, Hosking, McRobie, Mora, Shuckburgh, Reclassifying Lethal Heat, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square
• Parthipan, Anand, Christensen, Hosking, Wischik, Defining error accumulation in ML atmospheric simulators, ArXiv
• Thodoroff, Kaiser, Williams, Arthern, Hosking, Lawrence, Byrne, Kazlauskaite, Multi-fidelity experimental design for ice-sheet simulation, NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
• Ravuri, Andersson, Kazlauskaite, Tebbutt, Turner, Hosking, Lawrence, Kaiser, Ice Core Dating using Probabilistic Programming, NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
• Lalchand, Tazi, Cheema, Turner, Hosking, Kernel Learning for Explainable Climate Science, 16th Bayesian Modelling Applications Workshop at UAI, 2022
• Amos, Sengupta, Young, Hosking, A continuous vertically resolved ozone dataset from the fusion of chemistry climate models with observations using a Bayesian neural network, EarthArXiv

Peer-reviewed

1. Tazi, Orr, Hosking, Turner (2025) "Precipitation prediction over the upper Indus Basin from large-scale circulation patterns using Gaussian processes", Environmental Data Science
2. Girona-Mata, Orr, Widmann, Bannister, Dars, Hosking, Norris, Ocio, Phillips, Steiner, Turner (2025) "Probabilistic precipitation downscaling for ungauged mountain sites: a pilot study for the Hindu Kush Himalaya", Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
3. Bowler, Byrne, Leclerc, Roberto-Charron, Rogers, Cavanagh, Harasimo, Lancaster, Chan, Strickson, Wilkinson, Downie, Hosking, Andersson (2025) "AI sea ice forecasts for Arctic conservation: A case study predicting the timing of caribou sea ice migrations", Ecological Solutions and Evidence
4. Rouse, Moss, Hosking, McRobie, Shuckburgh (2025) "Reflective error: a metric for assessing predictive performance at extreme events", Environmental Data Science
5. Allen, Markou, Tebbutt, Requeima, Bruinsma, Andersson, Herzog, Chantry, Hosking, Turner (2025) "End-to-end data-driven weather prediction", Nature
6. Williams, Thodoroff, Arthern, Byrne, Hosking, Kaiser, Lawrence, Kazlauskaite (2025) "Calculations of extreme sea level rise scenarios are strongly dependent on ice sheet model resolution", Commun Earth Environ
7. Rouse, Khamis, Hosking, McRobie, Shuckburgh (2025) "Streamflow prediction using artificial neural networks and soil moisture proxies", Environmental Data Science
8. Coca-Castro, Fouilloux, Barros Lourenço, McDonald, Rao, Hosking (2025) "Improving the reproducibility in geoscientific papers: lessons learned from a Hackathon in climate science", Environmental Data Science
9. Tazi, Orr, Hernandez-González, Hosking, Turner (2024) "Downscaling precipitation over High-mountain Asia using multi-fidelity Gaussian processes: improved estimates from ERA5", Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
10. Rogers, Fox, Fleming, van Zeeland, Wilkinson, Hosking (2024) "Sea ice detection using concurrent multispectral and synthetic aperture radar imagery", Remote Sensing of Environment
11. Joakimsen, Martinsen, Luppino, McDonald, Hosking, Jenssen (2024) "Interrogating Sea Ice Predictability With Gradients", IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters
12. Jay, Yu, Crawford, Archer-Nicholls, James, Gledson, Shaddick, Haines, Lannelongue, Lines, Hosking, Topping (2024) "Prioritize environmental sustainability in use of AI and data science methods", Nature Geoscience
13. Evans, Faul, Fleming, Vaughan, Hosking (2023) "Unsupervised machine learning detection of iceberg populations within sea ice from dual-polarisation SAR imagery", Remote Sensing of Environment
14. Andersson, Bruinsma, Markou, Requeima, Coca-Castro, Vaughan, Ellis, Lazzara, Jones, Hosking, Turner (2023) "Environmental sensor placement with convolutional Gaussian neural processes", Environmental Data Science
15. Parthipan, Christensen, Hosking, Wischik (2023) "Using probabilistic machine learning to better model temporal patterns in parameterizations: a case study with the Lorenz 96 model", Geoscientific Model Development
16. Bruinsma, Markou, Requiema, Foong, Andersson, Vaughan, Buonomo, Hosking, Turner (2023) "Autoregressive Conditional Neural Processes", 11th International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR 2023)
17. Summers, Mackie, Ueno, Simpson, Hosking, Suciu, Coburn, Shuckburgh (2022) "Localized impacts and economic implications from high temperature disruption days under climate change", Climate Resilience and Sustainability
18. Vaughan, Tebbutt, Hosking, Turner (2022) "Convolutional conditional neural processes for local climate downscaling", Geoscientific Model Development
19. Simpson, Hosking, Mitchell, Betts, Shuckburgh (2021) "Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour", Environmental Research Letters
20. Eastwood, Stubbings, Abou-Elwafa Abdallah, Durance, Paavola, Dallimer, Pantel, Johnson, Zhou, Hosking, Brown, Ullah, Krause, Hannah, Crawford, Widmann, Orsini (2021) "The Time Machine framework: monitoring and prediction of biodiversity loss", Trends in Ecology & Evolution
21. Andersson, Hosking, Pérez-Ortiz, Paige, Elliott, Russell, Law, Jones, Wilkinson, Phillips, Byrne, Tietsche, Sarojini, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Aksenov, Downie, Shuckburgh (2021) "Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning", Nature Communications
22. King, Turner, Colwell, Lu, Orr, Phillips, Hosking, Marshall (2021) "Inhomogeneity of the Surface Air Temperature Record from Halley, Antarctica", Journal of Climate
23. Haupt, Chapman, Adams, Kirkwood, Hosking, Robinson, Lerch, Subramanian (2021) "Towards implementing artificial intelligence post-processing in weather and climate: proposed actions from the Oxford 2019 workshop", Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
24. Sengupta, Amos, Hosking, Rasmussen, Juniper, Young (2020) "Ensembling geophysical models with Bayesian Neural Networks", Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) 2020
25. Bruinsma, Perim, Tebbutt, Hosking, Solin, Turner (2020) "Scalable Exact Inference in Multi-Output Gaussian Processes", Proceedings of the 37th International Conference on Machine Learning, Vienna, Austria, PMLR 119, 2020
26. Orr, Hosking, Delon, Hoffmann, Spang, Moffat-Griffin, Keeble, Abraham, Braesicke (2020) "Polar stratospheric clouds initiated by mountain waves in a global chemistry--climate model: a missing piece in fully modelling polar stratospheric ozone depletion", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
27. Amos, Young, Hosking, Lamarque, Abraham, Akiyoshi, Archibald, Bekki, Deushi, Jöckel, Kinnison, Kirner, Kunze, Marchand, Plummer, Saint-Martin, Sudo, Tilmes, Yamashita (2020) "Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry-climate models weighted by model performance and independence", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
28. Bracegirdle, Holmes, Hosking, Marshall, Osman, Patterson, Rackow (2020) "Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5", Earth and Space Science
29. McCrystall, Hosking, White, Maycock (2020) "The impact of changes in tropical sea surface temperatures over 1979-2012 on Northern hemisphere high latitude climate", Journal of Climate
30. Kapetas, Kazakis, Voudouris, Martinez, Hosking (2019) "Modelling Groundwater - Surface Water Interactions Under Climate Change Scenarios: insights from Axios Delta, Greece", ICONHIC 2019: 2nd International Conference on Natural Hazards & Infrastructure, Chania, Greece
31. Bannister, Orr, Jain, Holman, Momblanch, Phillips, Adeloye, Snapir, Waine, Hosking, Allen-Sader (2019) "Bias correction of high-resolution regional climate model precipitation output gives the best estimates of precipitation in Himalayan catchments", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
32. Turner, Phillips, Thamban, Rahaman, Marshall, Wille, Favier, Winton, Thomas, Wang, Broeke, Hosking, Lachlan-Cope (2019) "The Dominant Role of Extreme Precipitation Events in Antarctic Snowfall Variability", Geophysical Research Letters
33. Deb, Orr, Bromwich, Nicolas, Turner, Hosking (2018) "Summer Drivers of Atmospheric Variability Affecting Ice Shelf Thinning in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica", Geophysical Research Letters
34. Hosking, MacLeod, Phillips, Holmes, Watson, Shuckburgh, Mitchell (2018) "Changes in European wind energy generation potential within a 1.5C warmer world", Environmental Research Letters
35. King, Bannister, Hosking, Colwell (2017) "Causes of the Antarctic region record high temperature at Signy Island, 30th January 1982", Atmospheric Science Letters
36. Hosking, Fogt, Thomas, Moosavi, Phillips, Coggins, Reusch (2017) "Accumulation in coastal West Antarctic ice core records and the role of cyclone activity", Geophysical Research Letters
37. Bannister, Herzog, Graf, Hosking, Short (2017) "An Assessment of Recent and Future Temperature Change over the Sichuan Basin, China, Using CMIP5 Climate Models", Journal of Climate
38. Turner, Phillips, Marshall, Hosking, Pope, Bracegirdle, Deb (2017) "Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016", Geophysical Research Letters
39. Moffat-Griffin, Taylor, Nakamura, Kavanagh, Hosking, Orr (2017) "3rd ANtarctic Gravity Wave Instrument Network (ANGWIN) science workshop", Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
40. Turner, Hosking, Bracegirdle, Phillips, Marshall (2017) "Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves", International Journal of Climatology
41. Turner, Lu, White, King, Phillips, Hosking, Bracegirdle, Marshall, Mulvaney, Deb (2016) "Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability", Nature
42. Deb, Orr, Hosking, Phillips, Turner, Bannister, Pope, Colwell (2016) "An assessment of the Polar Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model representation of near-surface meteorological variables over West Antarctica", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
43. Hosking, Orr, Bracegirdle, Turner (2016) "Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing", Geophysical Research Letters
44. Raphael, Marshall, Turner, Fogt, Schneider, Dixon, Hosking, Jones, Hobbs (2016) "The Amundsen Sea Low: Variability, Change, and Impact on Antarctic Climate", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
45. Turner, Hosking, Marshall, Phillips, Bracegirdle (2016) "Antarctic sea ice increase dominated by intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low", Climate Dynamics
46. Thomas, Hosking, Tuckwell, Warren, Ludlow (2015) "Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica", Geophysical Research Letters
47. Turner, Hosking, Bracegirdle, Marshall, Phillips (2015) "Recent Changes in Antarctic Sea Ice", Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
48. Chemel, Russo, Hosking, Telford, Pyle (2015) "Sensitivity of tropical deep convection in global models: effects of horizontal resolution, surface constraints and 3D atmospheric nudging", Atmospheric Science Letters
49. Orr, Hosking, Hoffmann, Keeble, Dean, Roscoe, Abraham, Vosper, Braesicke (2015) "Inclusion of mountain-wave-induced cooling for the formation of PSCs over the Antarctic Peninsula in a chemistry-climate model", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
50. Hosking, Bannister, Orr, King, Young, Phillips (2015) "Orographic disturbances of surface winds over the shelf waters adjacent to South Georgia", Atmospheric Science Letters
51. Orr, Phillips, Webster, Elvidge, Weeks, Hosking, Turner (2014) "Met Office Unified Model high resolution simulations of a strong wind event in Antarctica", Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
52. Bracegirdle, Turner, Hosking, Phillips (2014) "Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models", Climate Dynamics
53. Turner, Hosking, Phillips, Marshall (2013) "Temporal and spatial evolution of the Antarctic sea ice prior to the September 2012 record maximum extent", Geophysical Research Letters
54. Hosking, Orr, Marshall, Turner, Phillips (2013) "The influence of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations", Journal of Climate
55. Turner, Phillips, Hosking, Marshall, Orr (2013) "The Amundsen Sea Low", International Journal of Climatology
56. Barrand, Vaughan, Steiner, Tedesco, Kuipers Munneke, Broeke, Hosking (2013) "Trends in Antarctic Peninsula surface melting conditions from observations and regional climate modelling", Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface
57. Turner, Bracegirdle, Phillips, Marshall, Hosking (2013) "An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models", Journal of Climate
58. Orr, Bracegirdle, Hosking, Feng, Roscoe, Haigh (2013) "Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole", Journal of Climate
59. Orr, Bracegirdle, Hosking, Jung, Haigh, Phillips, Feng (2012) "Possible Dynamical Mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere Climate Change due to the Ozone Hole", Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
60. Hosking, Russo, Braesicke, Pyle (2012) "Tropical convective transport and the Walker circulation", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
61. Hoyle, Marécal, Russo, Allen, Arteta, Chemel, Chipperfield, D'Amato, Dessens, Feng, Hamilton, Harris, Hosking, Lewis, Morgenstern, Peter, Pyle, Reddmann, Richards, Telford, Tian, Viciani, Volz-Thomas, Wild, Yang, Zeng (2011) "Representation of tropical deep convection in atmospheric models - Part 2: Tracer transport", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
62. Russo, Marécal, Hoyle, Arteta, Chemel, Chipperfield, Dessens, Feng, Hosking, Telford, Wild, Yang, Pyle (2011) "Representation of tropical deep convection in atmospheric models - Part 1: Meteorology and comparison with satellite observations", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
63. Hosking, Russo, Braesicke, Pyle (2010) "Modelling deep convection and its impacts on the tropical tropopause layer", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics

Reports

• Daub, Dunstan, Bennett, Burnand, Chappell, Coca-Castro, Eftekhari, Hosking, Janmaijaya, Lillis, Salvador-Jasin, Simpson, Strickson, Chan, Elmasri, France, Madge, Robinson, Scaife, Walters, Yatsyshin, McCaie, Bokeria, Brown, Dodds, Llewellyn-Jones, Moreton, Potter, Stenson, Zeeland, Bett-Williams, Dale (2025) "Technical overview and architecture of the FastNet Machine Learning weather prediction model, version 1.0", The Alan Turing Institute, Met Office
• Conner, Hosking, Lloyd, Rao, Shaddick, Sharan (2023) "Tackling climate change with data science and AI", The Alan Turing Institute
• Patterson et al. (2020) "Spatial Finance: Challenges and Opportunities in a Changing World", WWF and World Bank Group
• Wolff et al. (2018) "Geoengineering", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Wolff et al. (2017) "Air quality", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Wolff et al. (2017) "Biodiversity", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Wolff et al. (2016) "Natural Resources", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Wolff et al. (2016) "Climate", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Maycock, Hosking, Bracegirdle (2013) "Key Points from the IPCC WGI Fifth Assessment Report. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis", Cambridge Centre for Climate Science (CCfCS)

PhD Thesis

• Hosking (2010) The impact of deep convection on the structure of, and transport through, the tropical tropopause layer, University of Cambridge

Datasets

• Hosking, Amundsen Sea Low (ASL) index 
• Andersson, Hosking et al., Forecasts, neural networks, and results from the paper: 'Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning' 

• Research