Publications

Preprints, Conference Papers

• Uebbing, Joakimsen, Luppino, Martinsen, McDonald, Wickstrøm, Lefèvre, Salberg, Hosking et al., Investigating the Impact of Feature Reduction for Deep Learning-based Seasonal Sea Ice Forecasting, Northern Lights Deep Learning Conference 2025
• Girona-Mata, Orr, Widmann, Bannister, Dars, Hosking et al., Probabilistic precipitation downscaling for ungauged mountain sites: a pilot study for the Hindu Kush Karakoram Himalaya, EGUsphere
• Rouse, Debnath, Rouse, Tebbutt, Dousset, Hosking et al., Reclassifying Lethal Heat, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square
• Parthipan, Anand, Christensen, Hosking et al., Defining error accumulation in ML atmospheric simulators, ArXiv
• Thodoroff, Kaiser, Williams, Arthern, Hosking et al., Multi-fidelity experimental design for ice-sheet simulation, NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
• Ravuri, Andersson, Kazlauskaite, Tebbutt, Turner, Hosking et al., Ice Core Dating using Probabilistic Programming, NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
• Lalchand, Tazi, Cheema, Turner, Hosking, Kernel Learning for Explainable Climate Science, 16th Bayesian Modelling Applications Workshop at UAI, 2022
• Amos, Sengupta, Young, Hosking, A continuous vertically resolved ozone dataset from the fusion of chemistry climate models with observations using a Bayesian neural network, EarthArXiv

Peer-reviewed

1. Bowler, Byrne, Leclerc, Roberto-Charron, Rogers, Cavanagh, Harasimo, Lancaster, Chan, Strickson, Wilkinson, Downie, Hosking et al. (2025) "AI sea ice forecasts for Arctic conservation: A case study predicting the timing of caribou sea ice migrations", Ecological Solutions and Evidence
2. Rouse, Moss, Hosking et al. (2025) "Reflective error: a metric for assessing predictive performance at extreme events", Environmental Data Science
3. Allen, Markou, Tebbutt, Requeima, Bruinsma, Andersson, Herzog, Chantry, Hosking et al. (2025) "End-to-end data-driven weather prediction", Nature
4. Williams, Thodoroff, Arthern, Byrne, Hosking et al. (2025) "Calculations of extreme sea level rise scenarios are strongly dependent on ice sheet model resolution", Commun Earth Environ
5. Rouse, Khamis, Hosking et al. (2025) "Streamflow prediction using artificial neural networks and soil moisture proxies", Environmental Data Science
6. Coca-Castro, Fouilloux, Barros Lourenço, McDonald, Rao, Hosking (2025) "Improving the reproducibility in geoscientific papers: lessons learned from a Hackathon in climate science", Environmental Data Science
7. Tazi, Orr, Hernandez-González, Hosking et al. (2024) "Downscaling precipitation over High-mountain Asia using multi-fidelity Gaussian processes: improved estimates from ERA5", Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
8. Rogers, Fox, Fleming, van Zeeland, Wilkinson, Hosking (2024) "Sea ice detection using concurrent multispectral and synthetic aperture radar imagery", Remote Sensing of Environment
9. Joakimsen, Martinsen, Luppino, McDonald, Hosking et al. (2024) "Interrogating Sea Ice Predictability With Gradients", IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters
10. Jay, Yu, Crawford, Archer-Nicholls, James, Gledson, Shaddick, Haines, Lannelongue, Lines, Hosking et al. (2024) "Prioritize environmental sustainability in use of AI and data science methods", Nature Geoscience
11. Evans, Faul, Fleming, Vaughan, Hosking (2023) "Unsupervised machine learning detection of iceberg populations within sea ice from dual-polarisation SAR imagery", Remote Sensing of Environment
12. Andersson, Bruinsma, Markou, Requeima, Coca-Castro, Vaughan, Ellis, Lazzara, Jones, Hosking et al. (2023) "Environmental sensor placement with convolutional Gaussian neural processes", Environmental Data Science
13. Parthipan, Christensen, Hosking et al. (2023) "Using probabilistic machine learning to better model temporal patterns in parameterizations: a case study with the Lorenz 96 model", Geoscientific Model Development
14. Bruinsma, Markou, Requiema, Foong, Andersson, Vaughan, Buonomo, Hosking et al. (2023) "Autoregressive Conditional Neural Processes", 11th International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR 2023)
15. Summers, Mackie, Ueno, Simpson, Hosking et al. (2022) "Localized impacts and economic implications from high temperature disruption days under climate change", Climate Resilience and Sustainability
16. Vaughan, Tebbutt, Hosking et al. (2022) "Convolutional conditional neural processes for local climate downscaling", Geoscientific Model Development
17. Simpson, Hosking et al. (2021) "Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour", Environmental Research Letters
18. Eastwood, Stubbings, Abou-Elwafa Abdallah, Durance, Paavola, Dallimer, Pantel, Johnson, Zhou, Hosking et al. (2021) "The Time Machine framework: monitoring and prediction of biodiversity loss", Trends in Ecology & Evolution
19. Andersson, Hosking et al. (2021) "Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning", Nature Communications
20. King, Turner, Colwell, Lu, Orr, Phillips, Hosking et al. (2021) "Inhomogeneity of the Surface Air Temperature Record from Halley, Antarctica", Journal of Climate
21. Haupt, Chapman, Adams, Kirkwood, Hosking et al. (2021) "Towards implementing artificial intelligence post-processing in weather and climate: proposed actions from the Oxford 2019 workshop", Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
22. Sengupta, Amos, Hosking et al. (2020) "Ensembling geophysical models with Bayesian Neural Networks", Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) 2020
23. Bruinsma, Perim, Tebbutt, Hosking et al. (2020) "Scalable Exact Inference in Multi-Output Gaussian Processes", Proceedings of the 37th International Conference on Machine Learning, Vienna, Austria, PMLR 119, 2020
24. Orr, Hosking et al. (2020) "Polar stratospheric clouds initiated by mountain waves in a global chemistry--climate model: a missing piece in fully modelling polar stratospheric ozone depletion", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
25. Amos, Young, Hosking et al. (2020) "Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry-climate models weighted by model performance and independence", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
26. Bracegirdle, Holmes, Hosking et al. (2020) "Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5", Earth and Space Science
27. McCrystall, Hosking et al. (2020) "The impact of changes in tropical sea surface temperatures over 1979-2012 on Northern hemisphere high latitude climate", Journal of Climate
28. Kapetas, Kazakis, Voudouris, Martinez, Hosking (2019) "Modelling Groundwater - Surface Water Interactions Under Climate Change Scenarios: insights from Axios Delta, Greece", ICONHIC 2019: 2nd International Conference on Natural Hazards & Infrastructure, Chania, Greece
29. Bannister, Orr, Jain, Holman, Momblanch, Phillips, Adeloye, Snapir, Waine, Hosking et al. (2019) "Bias correction of high-resolution regional climate model precipitation output gives the best estimates of precipitation in Himalayan catchments", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
30. Turner, Phillips, Thamban, Rahaman, Marshall, Wille, Favier, Winton, Thomas, Wang, Broeke, Hosking et al. (2019) "The Dominant Role of Extreme Precipitation Events in Antarctic Snowfall Variability", Geophysical Research Letters
31. Deb, Orr, Bromwich, Nicolas, Turner, Hosking (2018) "Summer Drivers of Atmospheric Variability Affecting Ice Shelf Thinning in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica", Geophysical Research Letters
32. Hosking et al. (2018) "Changes in European wind energy generation potential within a 1.5C warmer world", Environmental Research Letters
33. King, Bannister, Hosking et al. (2017) "Causes of the Antarctic region record high temperature at Signy Island, 30th January 1982", Atmospheric Science Letters
34. Hosking et al. (2017) "Accumulation in coastal West Antarctic ice core records and the role of cyclone activity", Geophysical Research Letters
35. Bannister, Herzog, Graf, Hosking et al. (2017) "An Assessment of Recent and Future Temperature Change over the Sichuan Basin, China, Using CMIP5 Climate Models", Journal of Climate
36. Turner, Phillips, Marshall, Hosking et al. (2017) "Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016", Geophysical Research Letters
37. Moffat-Griffin, Taylor, Nakamura, Kavanagh, Hosking et al. (2017) "3rd ANtarctic Gravity Wave Instrument Network (ANGWIN) science workshop", Advances in Atmospheric Sciences
38. Turner, Hosking et al. (2017) "Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves", International Journal of Climatology
39. Turner, Lu, White, King, Phillips, Hosking et al. (2016) "Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability", Nature
40. Deb, Orr, Hosking et al. (2016) "An assessment of the Polar Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model representation of near-surface meteorological variables over West Antarctica", Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
41. Hosking et al. (2016) "Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing", Geophysical Research Letters
42. Raphael, Marshall, Turner, Fogt, Schneider, Dixon, Hosking et al. (2016) "The Amundsen Sea Low: Variability, Change, and Impact on Antarctic Climate", Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
43. Turner, Hosking et al. (2016) "Antarctic sea ice increase dominated by intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low", Climate Dynamics
44. Thomas, Hosking et al. (2015) "Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica", Geophysical Research Letters
45. Turner, Hosking et al. (2015) "Recent Changes in Antarctic Sea Ice", Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences
46. Chemel, Russo, Hosking et al. (2015) "Sensitivity of tropical deep convection in global models: effects of horizontal resolution, surface constraints and 3D atmospheric nudging", Atmospheric Science Letters
47. Orr, Hosking et al. (2015) "Inclusion of mountain-wave-induced cooling for the formation of PSCs over the Antarctic Peninsula in a chemistry-climate model", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
48. Hosking et al. (2015) "Orographic disturbances of surface winds over the shelf waters adjacent to South Georgia", Atmospheric Science Letters
49. Orr, Phillips, Webster, Elvidge, Weeks, Hosking et al. (2014) "Met Office Unified Model high resolution simulations of a strong wind event in Antarctica", Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
50. Bracegirdle, Turner, Hosking et al. (2014) "Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models", Climate Dynamics
51. Turner, Hosking et al. (2013) "Temporal and spatial evolution of the Antarctic sea ice prior to the September 2012 record maximum extent", Geophysical Research Letters
52. Hosking et al. (2013) "The influence of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations", Journal of Climate
53. Turner, Phillips, Hosking et al. (2013) "The Amundsen Sea Low", International Journal of Climatology
54. Barrand, Vaughan, Steiner, Tedesco, Kuipers Munneke, Broeke, Hosking (2013) "Trends in Antarctic Peninsula surface melting conditions from observations and regional climate modelling", Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface
55. Turner, Bracegirdle, Phillips, Marshall, Hosking (2013) "An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models", Journal of Climate
56. Orr, Bracegirdle, Hosking et al. (2013) "Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole", Journal of Climate
57. Orr, Bracegirdle, Hosking et al. (2012) "Possible Dynamical Mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere Climate Change due to the Ozone Hole", Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
58. Hosking et al. (2012) "Tropical convective transport and the Walker circulation", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
59. Hoyle, Marécal, Russo, Allen, Arteta, Chemel, Chipperfield, D'Amato, Dessens, Feng, Hamilton, Harris, Hosking et al. (2011) "Representation of tropical deep convection in atmospheric models - Part 2: Tracer transport", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
60. Russo, Marécal, Hoyle, Arteta, Chemel, Chipperfield, Dessens, Feng, Hosking et al. (2011) "Representation of tropical deep convection in atmospheric models - Part 1: Meteorology and comparison with satellite observations", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
61. Hosking et al. (2010) "Modelling deep convection and its impacts on the tropical tropopause layer", Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics

Reports

• Conner, Hosking et al. (2023) "Tackling climate change with data science and AI", The Alan Turing Institute
• Patterson et al. (2020) "Spatial Finance: Challenges and Opportunities in a Changing World", WWF and World Bank Group
• Wolff et al. (2018) "Geoengineering", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Wolff et al. (2017) "Air quality", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Wolff et al. (2017) "Biodiversity", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Wolff et al. (2016) "Natural Resources", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Wolff et al. (2016) "Climate", Global Environmental Research Committee (GERC), Royal Society
• Maycock, Hosking et al. (2013) "Key Points from the IPCC WGI Fifth Assessment Report. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis", Cambridge Centre for Climate Science (CCfCS)

PhD Thesis

• Hosking (2010) The impact of deep convection on the structure of, and transport through, the tropical tropopause layer, University of Cambridge

Datasets

• Hosking, Amundsen Sea Low (ASL) index 
• Andersson, Hosking et al., Forecasts, neural networks, and results from the paper: 'Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning' 

• Research