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Research Output

Publications

Peer-reviewed papers, preprints, reports, and datasets spanning AI, climate science, and environmental forecasting.

Peer-Reviewed Publications
2026
Reclassifying Lethal Heat
R. Rouse, R. Debnath, D. Rouse, W. Tebbutt, B. Dousset, J. S. Hosking, A. McRobie, C. Mora, E. Shuckburgh
Nature Communications
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2026
Icebergs, jigsaw puzzles, and genealogy: automated multi-generational iceberg tracking and lineage reconstruction
B. R. Evans, A. R. Lowe, A. Crawford, A. Fleming, J. S. Hosking
The Cryosphere
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2026
Using a causal effect network approach to quantify the impact of ENSO teleconnections on summer monsoon precipitation over the Himalayas and key regional circulations
G. Muszynski, A. Orr, I. Roy, G. Di Capua, H. D. Pritchard, J. Scott Hosking
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
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2025
Precipitation prediction over the upper Indus Basin from large-scale circulation patterns using Gaussian processes
K. Tazi, A. Orr, J. S. Hosking, R. E. Turner
Environmental Data Science
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2025
Probabilistic precipitation downscaling for ungauged mountain sites: a pilot study for the Hindu Kush Himalaya
M. Girona-Mata, A. Orr, M. Widmann, D. Bannister, G. H. Dars, S. Hosking, J. Norris, D. Ocio, T. Phillips, J. Steiner, R. E. Turner
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
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2025
AI sea ice forecasts for Arctic conservation: A case study predicting the timing of caribou sea ice migrations
E. Bowler, J. Byrne, L.-M. Leclerc, A. Roberto-Charron, M. S. Rogers, R. D. Cavanagh, J. Harasimo, M. L. Lancaster, R. S. Chan, O. Strickson, J. Wilkinson, R. Downie, J. S. Hosking, T. R. Andersson
Ecological Solutions and Evidence
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2025
Reflective error: a metric for assessing predictive performance at extreme events
R. E. Rouse, H. Moss, S. Hosking, A. McRobie, E. Shuckburgh
Environmental Data Science
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2025
End-to-end data-driven weather prediction
A. Allen, S. Markou, W. Tebbutt, J. Requeima, W. P. Bruinsma, T. R. Andersson, N. D. Herzog, M. Chantry, J. S. Hosking, R. E. Turner
Nature
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2025
Calculations of extreme sea level rise scenarios are strongly dependent on ice sheet model resolution
R. C. Williams, P. Thodoroff, R. J. Arthern, J. Byrne, J. S. Hosking, M. Kaiser, N. D. Lawrence, I. Kazlauskaite
Communications Earth & Environment
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2025
Streamflow prediction using artificial neural networks and soil moisture proxies
R. E. Rouse, D. Khamis, S. Hosking, A. McRobie, E. Shuckburgh
Environmental Data Science
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2025
Improving the reproducibility in geoscientific papers: lessons learned from a Hackathon in climate science
A. Coca-Castro, A. Fouilloux, R. Barros Lourenço, A. McDonald, Y. Rao, J. S. Hosking
Environmental Data Science
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2025
Investigating the Impact of Feature Reduction for Deep Learning-based Seasonal Sea Ice Forecasting
L. Uebbing, H. L. Joakimsen, L. T. Luppino, I. Martinsen, A. McDonald, K. K. Wickstrøm, S. Lefèvre, A. B. Salberg, S. Hosking, R. Jenssen
Northern Lights Deep Learning Conference 2025
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2024
Downscaling precipitation over High-mountain Asia using multi-fidelity Gaussian processes: improved estimates from ERA5
K. Tazi, A. Orr, J. Hernandez-González, S. Hosking, R. E. Turner
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
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2024
Sea ice detection using concurrent multispectral and synthetic aperture radar imagery
M. S. Rogers, M. Fox, A. Fleming, L. van Zeeland, J. Wilkinson, J. S. Hosking
Remote Sensing of Environment
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2024
Interrogating Sea Ice Predictability With Gradients
H. L. Joakimsen, I. Martinsen, L. T. Luppino, A. McDonald, S. Hosking, R. Jenssen
IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters
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2024
Prioritize environmental sustainability in use of AI and data science methods
C. Jay, Y. Yu, I. Crawford, S. Archer-Nicholls, P. James, A. Gledson, G. Shaddick, R. Haines, L. Lannelongue, E. Lines, S. Hosking, D. Topping
Nature Geoscience
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2023
Unsupervised machine learning detection of iceberg populations within sea ice from dual-polarisation SAR imagery
B. Evans, A. Faul, A. Fleming, D. G. Vaughan, J. S. Hosking
Remote Sensing of Environment
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2023
Environmental sensor placement with convolutional Gaussian neural processes
T. R. Andersson, W. P. Bruinsma, S. Markou, J. Requeima, A. Coca-Castro, A. Vaughan, A.-L. Ellis, M. A. Lazzara, D. Jones, S. Hosking, R. E. Turner
Environmental Data Science
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2023
Using probabilistic machine learning to better model temporal patterns in parameterizations: a case study with the Lorenz 96 model
R. Parthipan, H. M. Christensen, J. S. Hosking, D. J. Wischik
Geoscientific Model Development
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2023
Autoregressive Conditional Neural Processes
W. P. Bruinsma, S. Markou, J. Requiema, A. Y. Foong, T. R. Andersson, A. Vaughan, A. Buonomo, J. S. Hosking, R. E. Turner
ICLR 2023
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2022
Localized impacts and economic implications from high temperature disruption days under climate change
T. Summers, E. Mackie, R. Ueno, C. Simpson, J. S. Hosking, T. Suciu, A. Coburn, E. Shuckburgh
Climate Resilience and Sustainability
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2022
Convolutional conditional neural processes for local climate downscaling
A. Vaughan, W. Tebbutt, J. S. Hosking, R. E. Turner
Geoscientific Model Development
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2021
Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour
C. Simpson, J. S. Hosking, D. Mitchell, R. A. Betts, E. Shuckburgh
Environmental Research Letters
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2021
The Time Machine framework: monitoring and prediction of biodiversity loss
N. Eastwood, W. A. Stubbings, M. A. Abou-Elwafa Abdallah et al., J. S. Hosking
Trends in Ecology & Evolution
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2021
Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning
T. Andersson, J. S. Hosking, M. Pérez-Ortiz, B. Paige, A. Elliott, C. Russell, S. Law, D. C. Jones et al.
Nature Communications
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2021
Inhomogeneity of the Surface Air Temperature Record from Halley, Antarctica
J. C. King, J. Turner, S. Colwell, H. Lu, A. Orr, T. Phillips, J. S. Hosking, G. J. Marshall
Journal of Climate
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2021
Towards implementing artificial intelligence post-processing in weather and climate: proposed actions from the Oxford 2019 workshop
S. E. Haupt, W. Chapman, S. V. Adams, C. Kirkwood, J. S. Hosking et al.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A
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2020
Ensembling geophysical models with Bayesian Neural Networks
U. Sengupta, M. Amos, J. S. Hosking, C. E. Rasmussen, M. Juniper, P. J. Young
NeurIPS 2020
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2020
Scalable Exact Inference in Multi-Output Gaussian Processes
W. P. Bruinsma, E. Perim, W. Tebbutt, J. S. Hosking, A. Solin, R. E. Turner
ICML 2020
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2020
Polar stratospheric clouds initiated by mountain waves in a global chemistry-climate model
A. Orr, J. S. Hosking, A. Delon, L. Hoffmann, R. Spang, T. Moffat-Griffin et al.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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2020
Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry-climate models weighted by model performance and independence
M. Amos, P. J. Young, J. S. Hosking, J.-F. Lamarque et al.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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2020
Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5
T. J. Bracegirdle, C. R. Holmes, J. S. Hosking et al.
Earth and Space Science
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2020
The impact of changes in tropical sea surface temperatures over 1979–2012 on Northern hemisphere high latitude climate
M. R. McCrystall, J. S. Hosking, I. P. White, A. C. Maycock
Journal of Climate
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2019
Bias correction of high-resolution regional climate model precipitation output gives the best estimates of precipitation in Himalayan catchments
D. Bannister, A. Orr, S. K. Jain, I. P. Holman, A. Momblanch, T. Phillips, A. J. Adeloye, B. Snapir, T. W. Waine, J. S. Hosking, C. Allen-Sader
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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2019
The Dominant Role of Extreme Precipitation Events in Antarctic Snowfall Variability
J. Turner, T. Phillips, M. Thamban, W. Rahaman, G. J. Marshall, J. D. Wille et al., J. S. Hosking
Geophysical Research Letters
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2018
Summer Drivers of Atmospheric Variability Affecting Ice Shelf Thinning in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica
P. Deb, A. Orr, D. H. Bromwich, J. P. Nicolas, J. Turner, J. S. Hosking
Geophysical Research Letters
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2018
Changes in European wind energy generation potential within a 1.5°C warmer world
J. S. Hosking, D. MacLeod, T. Phillips, C. R. Holmes, P. Watson, E. Shuckburgh, D. Mitchell
Environmental Research Letters
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2017
Causes of the Antarctic region record high temperature at Signy Island, 30th January 1982
J. C. King, D. Bannister, J. S. Hosking, S. R. Colwell
Atmospheric Science Letters
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2017
Accumulation in coastal West Antarctic ice core records and the role of cyclone activity
J. S. Hosking, R. Fogt, E. R. Thomas, V. Moosavi, T. Phillips, J. Coggins, D. Reusch
Geophysical Research Letters
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2017
An Assessment of Recent and Future Temperature Change over the Sichuan Basin, China, Using CMIP5 Climate Models
D. Bannister, M. Herzog, H.-F. Graf, J. S. Hosking, C. A. Short
Journal of Climate
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2017
Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016
J. Turner, T. Phillips, G. J. Marshall, J. S. Hosking, J. O. Pope, T. J. Bracegirdle, P. Deb
Geophysical Research Letters
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2017
Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves
J. Turner, J. S. Hosking, T. J. Bracegirdle, T. Phillips, G. J. Marshall
International Journal of Climatology
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2016
Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability
J. Turner, H. Lu, I. White, J. King, T. Phillips, J. S. Hosking, T. J. Bracegirdle, G. J. Marshall, R. Mulvaney, P. Deb
Nature
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2016
An assessment of the Polar WRF model representation of near-surface meteorological variables over West Antarctica
P. Deb, A. Orr, J. S. Hosking, T. Phillips, J. Turner, D. Bannister, J. O. Pope, S. Colwell
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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2016
Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing
J. S. Hosking, A. Orr, T. J. Bracegirdle, J. Turner
Geophysical Research Letters
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2016
The Amundsen Sea Low: Variability, Change, and Impact on Antarctic Climate
M. N. Raphael, G. J. Marshall, J. Turner, R. L. Fogt, D. Schneider, D. A. Dixon, J. S. Hosking, J. M. Jones, W. R. Hobbs
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
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2016
Antarctic sea ice increase dominated by intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low
J. Turner, J. S. Hosking, G. J. Marshall, T. Phillips, T. J. Bracegirdle
Climate Dynamics
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2015
Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica
E. R. Thomas, J. S. Hosking, R. R. Tuckwell, R. A. Warren, E. C. Ludlow
Geophysical Research Letters
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2015
Recent Changes in Antarctic Sea Ice
J. Turner, J. S. Hosking, T. J. Bracegirdle, G. J. Marshall, T. Phillips
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A
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2015
Inclusion of mountain-wave-induced cooling for the formation of PSCs over the Antarctic Peninsula in a chemistry-climate model
A. Orr, J. S. Hosking, L. Hoffmann, J. Keeble, S. M. Dean, H. K. Roscoe et al.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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2015
Orographic disturbances of surface winds over the shelf waters adjacent to South Georgia
J. S. Hosking, D. Bannister, A. Orr, J. King, E. Young, T. Phillips
Atmospheric Science Letters
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2014
Met Office Unified Model high resolution simulations of a strong wind event in Antarctica
A. Orr, T. Phillips, S. Webster, A. Elvidge, M. Weeks, S. Hosking, J. Turner
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
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2014
Sources of uncertainty in projections of twenty-first century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea in CMIP5 climate models
T. Bracegirdle, J. Turner, J. S. Hosking, T. Phillips
Climate Dynamics
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2013
Temporal and spatial evolution of the Antarctic sea ice prior to the September 2012 record maximum extent
J. Turner, J. S. Hosking, T. Phillips, G. J. Marshall
Geophysical Research Letters
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2013
The influence of the Amundsen-Bellingshausen Seas Low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations
J. S. Hosking, A. Orr, G. J. Marshall, J. Turner, T. Phillips
Journal of Climate
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2013
The Amundsen Sea Low
J. Turner, T. Phillips, J. S. Hosking, G. J. Marshall, A. Orr
International Journal of Climatology
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2013
Trends in Antarctic Peninsula surface melting conditions from observations and regional climate modelling
N. E. Barrand, D. Vaughan, N. Steiner, M. Tedesco, P. Kuipers Munneke, M. Broeke, J. S. Hosking
Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface
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2013
An Initial Assessment of Antarctic Sea Ice Extent in the CMIP5 Models
J. Turner, T. Bracegirdle, T. Phillips, G. J. Marshall, J. S. Hosking
Journal of Climate
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2013
Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole
A. Orr, T. J. Bracegirdle, J. S. Hosking, W. Feng, H. K. Roscoe, J. D. Haigh
Journal of Climate
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2012
Possible Dynamical Mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere Climate Change due to the Ozone Hole
A. Orr, T. J. Bracegirdle, J. S. Hosking, T. Jung, J. D. Haigh, T. Phillips, W. Feng
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
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2012
Tropical convective transport and the Walker circulation
J. S. Hosking, M. R. Russo, P. Braesicke, J. A. Pyle
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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2011
Representation of tropical deep convection in atmospheric models — Part 2: Tracer transport
C. R. Hoyle, V. Marécal, M. R. Russo, G. Allen, J. Arteta, J. S. Hosking et al.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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2011
Representation of tropical deep convection in atmospheric models — Part 1: Meteorology and comparison with satellite observations
M. R. Russo, V. Marécal, C. R. Hoyle, J. Arteta, J. S. Hosking et al.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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2010
Modelling deep convection and its impacts on the tropical tropopause layer
J. S. Hosking, M. R. Russo, P. Braesicke, J. A. Pyle
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
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Preprints & Conference Papers
2024
FastNet: Improving the physical consistency of machine-learning weather prediction models through loss function design
T. Dunstan et al., S. Hosking et al.
arXiv
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2024
SVD-ROM: Scalable Reduced Order Modeling of Weather and Climate Data Using the Singular Value Decomposition
D. Salvador-Jasin, R. Vava, O. Strickson, L. Zeeland, L. France, B. Eiximeno Franch, P. Yatsyshin, S. Hosking, J. N. Kutz
Zenodo
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2024
Defining error accumulation in ML atmospheric simulators
R. Parthipan, M. Anand, H. M. Christensen, J. S. Hosking, D. J. Wischik
arXiv
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2023
Multi-fidelity experimental design for ice-sheet simulation
P. Thodoroff, M. Kaiser, R. Williams, R. Arthern, S. Hosking, N. Lawrence, J. Byrne, I. Kazlauskaite
NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
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2022
Ice Core Dating using Probabilistic Programming
A. Ravuri, T. R. Andersson, I. Kazlauskaite, W. Tebbutt, R. E. Turner, J. S. Hosking, N. D. Lawrence, M. Kaiser
NeurIPS 2022 Workshop on Gaussian Processes, Spatiotemporal Modeling, and Decision-making Systems
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2022
Kernel Learning for Explainable Climate Science
V. Lalchand, K. Tazi, T. M. Cheema, R. E. Turner, S. Hosking
16th Bayesian Modelling Applications Workshop at UAI, 2022
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2021
A continuous vertically resolved ozone dataset from the fusion of chemistry climate models with observations using a Bayesian neural network
M. Amos, U. Sengupta, P. Young, J. S. Hosking
EarthArXiv
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Reports
2025
Technical overview and architecture of the FastNet Machine Learning weather prediction model, version 1.0
E. G. Daub, T. Dunstan, T. Bennett, M. Burnand, J. Chappell, A. Coca-Castro, J. S. Hosking et al.
The Alan Turing Institute & Met Office
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2023
Tackling climate change with data science and AI
A. Conner, S. Hosking, J. Lloyd, A. Rao, G. Shaddick, M. Sharan
The Alan Turing Institute
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2020
Spatial Finance: Challenges and Opportunities in a Changing World
D. J. Patterson et al.
WWF and World Bank Group
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2018
Geoengineering
E. Wolff et al.
Global Environmental Research Committee, Royal Society
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2017
Air quality
E. Wolff et al.
Global Environmental Research Committee, Royal Society
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2017
Biodiversity
E. Wolff et al.
Global Environmental Research Committee, Royal Society
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2016
Natural Resources
E. Wolff et al.
Global Environmental Research Committee, Royal Society
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2016
Climate
E. Wolff et al.
Global Environmental Research Committee, Royal Society
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2013
Key Points from the IPCC WGI Fifth Assessment Report. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis
A. Maycock, S. Hosking, T. Bracegirdle
Cambridge Centre for Climate Science (CCfCS)
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PhD Thesis
2010
The impact of deep convection on the structure of, and transport through, the tropical tropopause layer
J. S. Hosking
University of Cambridge
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Datasets
Amundsen Sea Low (ASL) index
J. S. Hosking
scotthosking.com/asl_index
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Forecasts, neural networks, and results from the paper: 'Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning'
T. Andersson, J. S. Hosking et al.
UK Polar Data Centre
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